Having eliminated most tactical approaches, we are left with a few that consistently add value. There are really only a few things that work and we think we’ve narrowed it down to the few that will continue to do so. Ultimately our methods boil down to two things – momentum and value. We added some of these elements in the Citadel portfolio. In the Alhambra Portfolio, we add two final pieces to solve our enigmatic investing puzzle.
The Alhambra Portfolio builds on the Citadel Portfolio by adding a momentum factor to the strategic allocation and/or by using carefully selected individual securities in lieu of ETFs to achieve alpha.
In the Citadel Portfolio, momentum is used within each asset class. For instance, we monitor momentum between international and domestic stocks within the Large Cap allocation. We also monitor momentum between value and growth indices. In the Alhambra Portfolio, we apply the momentum strategy across asset classes by adding the Pathfinder Portfolio to the allocation.
The Pathfinder Portfolio captures the changes in momentum that occur between asset classes. The portfolio emphasizes near-term performance but also captures longer-term changes that occur across the business cycle. Markets anticipate and influence changes in the economy. Pathfinder captures this effect and adjusts the strategic allocation as we move through the business cycle.
The Alhambra Portfolio can also incorporate individual securities and actively managed funds into the allocation. We shift some of the stock portion of the portfolio to our Archer Portfolios.
Archer Portfolios are individual stock portfolios based on our Value, Quality, Momentum ranking system. There are three versions:
While each model relies on the VQM ranking system, the Dividend Growth and Earnings Revision models emphasize those characteristics.
The Alhambra Portfolio may also include individual securities and actively managed funds in other asset classes.
A fully invested Alhambra Portfolio, with an Archer Portfolio as a part of the Large Cap Equity allocation and the Pathfinder Portfolio as an overall asset class momentum play, would look something like this:
The Alhambra Portfolio – a fortress against market storms.